Andrea Collarini vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaAntofagasta CH Round of 16

Antofagasta CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#340ATP
1426ELO
1411Clay ELO
34 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 September 2024
clay
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Collarini A.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Collarini A.
3662
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6331

Andrea Collarini defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the Antofagasta CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida came in ranked #294, defending last year's quarter-final, but Andrea Collarini had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collarini A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

wins 55% of points on serve vs Collarini A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
11
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
54
36
Break points won·Even
43
43
Deciding sets·Even
8
11
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
7
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+7 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1404
5.8Overall Elo 1426
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1412
3.1No prior meetings
H2H
6.9
6.0
Surface form
4.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
60

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast