Naoki Nakagawa vs James Trotter — Columbus CH Final

Columbus CH · CHALLENGER · Final
JPN
Naoki Nakagawa
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 September 2024
hard
JPN
James Trotter
#432ATP
1414ELO
1380Hard ELO
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWLW
Nakagawa N.
7-6 5-7 7-6
Trotter J.
Nakagawa N.
7105772
Trotter J.
687651

Naoki Nakagawa defeated James Trotter 7-6 5-7 7-6 in the Columbus CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Trotter came in ranked #432, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Trotter J.

Trotter J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nakagawa N.Trotter J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 134). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nakagawa N.Trotter J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
41
Break points saved·Dominant
57
90
Break points won·Even
1
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
17
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nakagawa N.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Trotter J.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1414
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nakagawa N.Trotter J.
Freshness·
—
61

Trotter J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Nakagawa N.
Trotter J.
7-685-77-65
Semi-finals
Nakagawa N.
Edmund K.
7-650-66-2
Trotter J.
Basavareddy N.
6-746-16-0
Quarter-finals
Nakagawa N.
Eubanks C.[1]
2-67-647-64
Edmund K.
Shelbayh A.[6]
7-56-1
Basavareddy N.
Boyer T.
6-06-2
Trotter J.
Escobedo E.
7-636-2
R16
Eubanks C.[1]
Andrade A.
6-37-5
Boyer T.
Kudla D.[5]
6-36-4
Shelbayh A.[6]
Anthrop J.
6-46-4
Escobedo E.
Galarneau A.[8]
6-46-4
Basavareddy N.
Quinn E.
5-77-56-2
Edmund K.
Stricker D.
6-36-3
Nakagawa N.
Bernard A.
6-26-3
Trotter J.
Zahraj P.
7-656-4
R32
Escobedo E.
Ghibaudo A.
6-746-26-4
Anthrop J.
Cassone M.
6-36-4
Bernard A.
Holt B.[7]
6-37-64
Andrade A.
Kuzuhara B.
6-16-3
Eubanks C.[1]
Williams C.
7-56-3
Zahraj P.
Schoolkate T.[2]
7-646-0
Quinn E.
Kypson P.[3]
6-46-4
Edmund K.
Wolf J.[4]
6-17-64
Kudla D.[5]
Braswell M.
4-66-16-2
Shelbayh A.[6]
Spizzirri E.
6-16-0
Galarneau A.[8]
Sweeny D.
6-46-1
Basavareddy N.
Marie J.
6-36-2
Boyer T.
Nakashima B.
6-17-63
Nakagawa N.
Pinnington Jones J.
7-616-4
Stricker D.
Peniston R.
6-37-5
Trotter J.
Mayo A.
4-66-26-2