Elmer Moller vs Alexander Bublik — Davis Cup WG1 R1: KAZ vs DEN Round Robin

Davis Cup WG1 R1: KAZ vs DEN · ATP · Round Robin
DEN
Elmer Moller
#190ATP
1609ELO
1484Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 14 September 2024
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Moller E.
1-6 6-2 6-2
Bublik A.
Moller E.
1662
Bublik A.
6221

Elmer Moller defeated Alexander Bublik 1-6 6-2 6-2 in the Davis Cup WG1 R1: KAZ vs DEN round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Moller E.Bublik A.
—
Serve
65
—
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Moller E.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
11.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moller E.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
99
Break points won·Slight edge
58
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moller E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.4Hard Elo 1484
Surface ELO
9.6+353 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moller E.Bublik A.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
78

Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About