Matteo Berrettini vs Joao FonsecaDavis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA · ATP · Round Robin
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 11 September 2024
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Berrettini M.
6-1 7-6
Fonseca J.
Berrettini M.
6772
Fonseca J.
1650

Matteo Berrettini defeated Joao Fonseca 6-1 7-6 in the Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Matteo Berrettini claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Berrettini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJoao Fonseca6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Fonseca J.
57
Serve
47
10
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
76
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
53
43
Deciding sets·Even
91
89
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1797
Surface ELO
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
91

Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fonseca J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About