Matteo Arnaldi vs Thiago MonteiroDavis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA · ATP · Round Robin
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 11 September 2024
hard
#290ATP
1568ELO
1533Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Arnaldi M.
7-5 6-7 7-6
Monteiro T.
Arnaldi M.
764772
Monteiro T.
577651

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Thiago Monteiro 7-5 6-7 7-6 in the Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs BRA round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Monteiro T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Monteiro T.
23
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 149). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Dominant
51
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
66
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+200 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1533
6.9Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1568
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
64

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About