Jelle Sels vs Francesco MaestrelliDobrich CH Round of 32

Dobrich CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#524ATP
1313ELO
1283Clay ELO
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 September 2024
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Sels J.
4-6 7-6 6-2
Maestrelli F.
Sels J.
47762
Maestrelli F.
66321

Jelle Sels defeated Francesco Maestrelli 4-6 7-6 6-2 in the Dobrich CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sels J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sels J.

Serve advantage — Maestrelli F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (102 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
61
83
Break points won·Slight edge
4
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1283
Surface ELO
7.6+184 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
2.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sels J.: 19 days rest · Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast