Mikhail Kukushkin vs Dalibor SvrcinaGuangzhou CH Round of 16

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#316ATP
1552ELO
1526Hard ELO
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 September 2024
hard
#114ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$300kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
Kukushkin M.
2-6 6-1 6-2
Svrcina D.
Kukushkin M.
2662
Svrcina D.
6121

Mikhail Kukushkin defeated Dalibor Svrcina 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the Guangzhou CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dalibor Svrcina came in ranked #114.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kukushkin M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Svrcina D.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kukushkin M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
34
Break points saved·Dominant
93
44
Break points won·Dominant
41
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
41
27
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
44
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1526
Surface ELO
6.3+99 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1552
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1640
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.1
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Svrcina D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast