Ashlyn Krueger vs Tatjana MariaGuadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 September 2024
hard
#96WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Krueger A.
7-5 6-2
Maria T.
Krueger A.
762
Maria T.
520

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Tatjana Maria 7-5 6-2 in the Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Serve advantage — Krueger A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Maria T.
37
Serve
9
7
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
79
13
Break points saved·Dominant
87
31
Break points won·Slight edge
85
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
66
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+115 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1608
6.3Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
7.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
69

Krueger A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast