Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian MannarinoRennes CH Quarter-final

Rennes CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#123ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 September 2024
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Fearnley J.
6-3 6-3
Mannarino A.
Fearnley J.
662
Mannarino A.
330

Jacob Fearnley defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-3 in the Rennes CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49, but Jacob Fearnley had arrived on a 8-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve advantage — Fearnley J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Mannarino A.
3
Serve
38
28
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
65
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
70
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
5.8+83 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.4
Surface form
0.8
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 9
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
42
80

Fearnley J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 139 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast