Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Daniel MichalskiSeville CH Qualifying Round 2

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#481ATP
1353ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 September 2024
clay
#299ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Alvarez Varona N.
5-7 7-6 6-2
Michalski D.
Alvarez Varona N.
57762
Michalski D.
76121

Nicolas Alvarez Varona defeated Daniel Michalski 5-7 7-6 6-2 in the Seville CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Michalski came in ranked #299, defending last year's round of 32, but Nicolas Alvarez Varona had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alvarez Varona N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Michalski D.

Michalski D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
5
26
Break points saved·Clear edge
40
24
Break points won·Slight edge
17
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1301
Surface ELO
5.9+85 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1353
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1435
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
5.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Michalski D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast