Pavel Kotov vs Zachary SvajdaWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 August 2024
hard
#72ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Kotov P.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Svajda Z.
Kotov P.
3662
Svajda Z.
6341

Pavel Kotov defeated Zachary Svajda 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Winston-Salem round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Zachary Svajda came in ranked #72.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Svajda Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve advantage — Svajda Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kotov P.Svajda Z.
Serve
30
Return
12

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
89
Break points won·Dominant
13
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
69
Tiebreaks·Even
76
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1601
Surface ELO
5.8+89 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1718
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Svajda Z.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast