Maria Lourdes Carle vs Veronika KudermetovaMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#232WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 August 2024
hard
#115WTA
1836ELO
1786Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
Carle M.
1-6 7-5 6-4
Kudermetova V.
Carle M.
1762
Kudermetova V.
6541

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Veronika Kudermetova 1-6 7-5 6-4 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Veronika Kudermetova came in ranked #115. Maria Lourdes Carle extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR64clayMaria Lourdes Carle6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Kudermetova V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carle M.Kudermetova V.
Serve
67
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
51%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 102). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
85
Break points saved·Dominant
26
85
Break points won·Clear edge
97
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1459
Surface ELO
9.0+327 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1836
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
3.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Carle M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%