Pablo Carreno Busta vs Learner TienWinston-Salem Quarter-final

Winston-Salem · ATP · Quarter-final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 August 2024
hard
#15ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 6-2
Tien L.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Tien L.
420

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Learner Tien 6-4 6-2 in the Winston-Salem quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #15.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Tien L.
21
Serve
32
44
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
90
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
61
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
91

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tien L.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast