Frances Tiafoe vs Holger RuneCincinnati Masters Semi-final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Tiafoe F.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Rune H.
Tiafoe F.
46772
Rune H.
61641

Frances Tiafoe defeated Holger Rune 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe claimed a first win over Holger Rune in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR16hardHolger Rune6-4 3-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Rune H.
38
Serve
47
37
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
57
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+137 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1725
6.3Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
7.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.2
Country comfort
5.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
7-695-77-64
Tiafoe F.
Rune H.[15]
4-66-17-64