Luka Pavlovic vs Francesco MaestrelliTodi CH Round of 16

Todi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#264ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Pavlovic L.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Pavlovic L.
2662
Maestrelli F.
6231

Luka Pavlovic defeated Francesco Maestrelli 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Todi CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, defending last year's semi-final, but Luka Pavlovic had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlovic L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
60
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
83
Break points won·Slight edge
24
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+0 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 1466
4.2Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
2.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.5
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
97

Pavlovic L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast