Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi OsakaCincinnati Qualifying Round 2

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#66WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Krueger A.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Osaka N.
Krueger A.
6262
Osaka N.
3631

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3 2-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13.

Key context

  • Match story: Ashlyn Krueger closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Osaka N.
37
Serve
70
7
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Clear edge
85
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
7.6+198 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
85

Krueger A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast