Pablo Carreno Busta vs Max PurcellCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-3
Purcell M.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Purcell M.
330

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Max Purcell 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Max Purcell came in defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Purcell M.

Purcell M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Purcell M.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Dominant
61
10
Deciding sets·Even
80
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%