Roman Safiullin vs Mattia BellucciCary CH Final

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#96ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Safiullin R.
1-6 7-5 7-5
Bellucci M.
Safiullin R.
1772
Bellucci M.
6551

Roman Safiullin defeated Mattia Bellucci 1-6 7-5 7-5 in the Cary CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
60
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
44
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1678
6.2Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Safiullin R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast