Jordan Thompson vs Sebastian BaezCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Thompson J.
6-2 6-4
Baez S.
Thompson J.
662
Baez S.
240

Jordan Thompson defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jordan Thompson claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-20MallorcaR32grassSebastian Baez6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Thompson J.Baez S.
Serve
5
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
87
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
24
86
Deciding sets·Even
91
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1709
5.3Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.3
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
5.0
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%