Jessica Pegula vs Peyton StearnsToronto Quarter-final

Toronto · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Pegula J.
6-4 7-5
Stearns P.
Pegula J.
672
Stearns P.
450

Jessica Pegula defeated Peyton Stearns 6-4 7-5 in the Toronto quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31WashingtonR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Stearns P.
68
Serve
34
73
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
51
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+303 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1755
8.8Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1804
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw