Jessica Pegula vs Ashlyn KruegerToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#66WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Pegula J.
6-2 6-4
Krueger A.
Pegula J.
662
Krueger A.
240

Jessica Pegula defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 6-4 in the Toronto round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR64clayJessica Pegula6-4 6-2
2025-01-06AdelaideQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 2-0 RET
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-0
2023-10-09SeoulR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Krueger A.
68
Serve
37
73
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+335 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1723
9.7Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.3Overall Elo 1791
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw