Sebastian Korda vs Alexander ZverevCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Korda S.
7-6 1-6 6-4
Zverev A.
Korda S.
77162
Zverev A.
65641

Sebastian Korda defeated Alexander Zverev 7-6 1-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 32, but Sebastian Korda had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Zverev A.
61
Serve
71
58
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Even
8.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (113 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
94
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
73
90
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
6.9+277 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2100
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
7.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
39

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%