Alexei Popyrin vs Hubert HurkaczCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Popyrin A.
3-6 7-6 7-5
Hurkacz H.
Popyrin A.
37772
Hurkacz H.
66551

Alexei Popyrin defeated Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-6 7-5 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Hubert Hurkacz in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersQFhardHubert Hurkacz6-1 7-6(8)
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-3
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Hurkacz H.
40
Serve
67
11
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.7
12.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
6
40
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
94
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
5.8+46 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1798
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
72

Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%