Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor DimitrovCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Popyrin A.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Dimitrov G.
Popyrin A.
47762
Dimitrov G.
66531

Alexei Popyrin defeated Grigor Dimitrov 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Grigor Dimitrov came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexei Popyrin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov7-6(5) 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenR64hardAlexei Popyrin7-6(4) 7-6(4) 4-0 RET
2021-02-01Murray River OpenR16hardGrigor Dimitrov6-4 6-7(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Dimitrov G.
40
Serve
11
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.7
8.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
5.9+55 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1744
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
8.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
69

Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dimitrov G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%