Pablo Carreno Busta vs Fabian Marozsan — Canada Masters Round of 64

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
Fabian Marozsan
HUN
Fabian Marozsan
#54ATP
1784ELO
1747Hard ELO
$728kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Carreno Busta P.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Marozsan F.
Carreno Busta P.
687862
Marozsan F.
7106631

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Fabian Marozsan 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Fabian Marozsan came in ranked #54.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Marozsan F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Marozsan F.
21
Serve
31
44
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Marozsan F.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 123). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Marozsan F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
71
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
61
36
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Marozsan F.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
5.4+3 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1784
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Marozsan F.
Freshness·Even
92
95

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Marozsan F.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Popyrin A.
Rublev A.[5]
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-2
Popyrin A.
Korda S.
7-606-3
Quarter-finals
Arnaldi M.
Nishikori K.
6-47-5
Korda S.
Zverev A.[2]
7-651-66-4
Rublev A.[5]
Sinner J.[1]
6-31-66-2
Popyrin A.
Hurkacz H.[4]
3-67-657-5
R16
Korda S.
Ruud C.[6]
W/O
Arnaldi M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
4-67-653-0
Popyrin A.
Dimitrov G.[7]
4-67-656-3
Sinner J.[1]
Tabilo A.[15]
6-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-26-2
Hurkacz H.[4]
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-65
Nishikori K.
Borges N.
6-36-4
R32
Davidovich Fokina A.
Medvedev D.[3]
6-41-66-2
Tabilo A.[15]
Sonego L.
6-46-2
Nakashima B.
Paul T.[10]
6-26-756-1
Rublev A.[5]
Etcheverry T.
7-636-2
Arnaldi M.
Khachanov K.[16]
7-57-5
Borges N.
Humbert U.[12]
3-67-627-64
Nishikori K.
Tsitsipas S.[8]
6-46-4
Popyrin A.
Shelton B.[11]
6-47-64
Rinderknech A.
Cobolli F.
6-36-2
Hurkacz H.[4]
Kokkinakis T.
4-66-37-66
Ruud C.[6]
Duckworth J.
6-26-756-3
Korda S.
Fritz T.[9]
6-47-64
Rune H.[13]
Carreno Busta P.
6-16-3
Dimitrov G.[7]
Hijikata R.
6-16-0
Zverev A.[2]
Thompson J.
6-16-1
Sinner J.[1]
Coric B.
6-26-4
R64
Korda S.
Pospisil V.
2-1
Rune H.[13]
Bautista Agut R.
6-23-66-2
Fritz T.[9]
Navone M.
6-46-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Safiullin R.
6-27-5
Sonego L.
Griekspoor T.
7-675-76-4
Paul T.[10]
Darderi L.
6-47-62
Nakashima B.
Shapovalov D.
6-47-5
Etcheverry T.
Jarry N.
7-656-756-2
Arnaldi M.
Mcdonald M.
4-66-46-4
Humbert U.[12]
Fils A.
6-26-2
Borges N.
Kecmanovic M.
5-76-46-4
Hijikata R.
Daniel T.
6-17-5
Popyrin A.
Machac T.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[11]
Bublik A.
7-646-2
Cobolli F.
Auger Aliassime F.[14]
6-36-2
Kokkinakis T.
Monfils G.
6-36-3
Duckworth J.
Giron M.
6-46-1
Thompson J.
Draper J.
7-56-2
Khachanov K.[16]
Diallo G.
6-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Marozsan F.
6-787-666-3
Nishikori K.
Michelsen A.
3-67-56-4
Tabilo A.[15]
Tiafoe F.
6-46-2
Rinderknech A.
Mannarino A.
6-42-66-4
Coric B.
Martinez P.
6-46-4