Aryna Sabalenka vs Katie BoulterToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#67WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-3
Boulter K.
Sabalenka A.
662
Boulter K.
330

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Katie Boulter 6-3 6-3 in the Toronto round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02BeijingR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-6(2)
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-3
2019-01-14Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Boulter K.
96
Serve
21
39
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+407 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1795
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1831
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Boulter K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw