Chloe Paquet vs Kimberly BirrellToronto Qualifying Round 1

Toronto · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#297WTA
1479ELO
1432Hard ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#65WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Paquet C.
6-3 6-3
Birrell K.
Paquet C.
662
Birrell K.
33

Chloe Paquet defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-3 6-3 in the Toronto qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kimberly Birrell came in ranked #65, but Chloe Paquet had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paquet C.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Birrell K.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paquet C.Birrell K.
Serve
22
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
65
Break points saved·Dominant
51
77
Break points won·Clear edge
69
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1432
Surface ELO
9.3+320 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1754
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
4.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Birrell K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast