Matteo Arnaldi vs Kei NishikoriCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Arnaldi M.
6-4 7-5
Nishikori K.
Arnaldi M.
672
Nishikori K.
450

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Kei Nishikori 6-4 7-5 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Nishikori K.
23
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
51
74
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1680
5.2Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1714
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%