Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McdonaldCanada Masters Round of 64

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Arnaldi M.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Arnaldi M.
4662
Mcdonald M.
6441

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's round of 32. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Mcdonald M.
23
Serve
25
22
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Clear edge
51
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1604
6.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
2.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
92

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%