Matteo Arnaldi vs Karen KhachanovCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Arnaldi M.
7-5 7-5
Khachanov K.
Arnaldi M.
772
Khachanov K.
550

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Karen Khachanov 7-5 7-5 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Khachanov K.
23
Serve
61
22
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
51
81
Deciding sets·Even
86
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
6.3+51 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1828
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
83

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%