Camila Osorio vs Dayana YastremskaParis Olympics Round of 32

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 32
#53WTA
1807ELO
1731Clay ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#74WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Osorio C.
7-6 6-4
Yastremska D.
Osorio C.
7762
Yastremska D.
6440

Camila Osorio defeated Dayana Yastremska 7-6 6-4 in the Paris Olympics round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dayana Yastremska came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Camila Osorio claimed a first win over Dayana Yastremska in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR64hardDayana Yastremska3-6 7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Osorio C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Osorio C.Yastremska D.
Serve
10
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (123 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1731
Surface ELO
4.8+0 Clay Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
93

Osorio C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Yastremska D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw