Elias Ymer vs Shintaro MochizukiWashington Qualifying Round 2

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#183ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Ymer E.
6-3 6-0
Mochizuki S.
Ymer E.
662
Mochizuki S.
300

Elias Ymer defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-0 in the Washington qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Elias Ymer claimed a first win over Shintaro Mochizuki in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26SeoulQ1hardShintaro Mochizuki1-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
48
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
74
Break points won·Dominant
23
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+102 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1425
5.8Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1475
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.0
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.9
8.0
Prev. match
4.5
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Ymer E.: 20 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%