Tommy Paul vs Jakub MensikParis Olympics Round of 32

Paris Olympics · ATP · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#19ATP
1931ELO
1861Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Paul T.
6-3 6-1
Mensik J.
Paul T.
662
Mensik J.
310

Tommy Paul defeated Jakub Mensik 6-3 6-1 in the Paris Olympics round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #19.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Mensik J.
34
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
11.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 146). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
87
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1861
4.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mensik J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw