Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian MannarinoWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-2 6-1
Mannarino A.
Shapovalov D.
662
Mannarino A.
210

Denis Shapovalov defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-1 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, defending last year's round of 32. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-10-23BaselR16hardAdrian Mannarino4-6 6-1 6-2
2017-08-07Canada MastersQFhardDenis Shapovalov2-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve advantage — Shapovalov D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Mannarino A.
25
Serve
37
70
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
65
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Slight edge
71
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1647
6.8Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
3.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
69

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%