Donna Vekic vs Marta KostyukParis Olympics Quarter-final

Paris Olympics · WTA · Quarter-final
#34WTA
1807ELO
1754Clay ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Vekic D.
6-4 2-6 7-6
Kostyuk M.
Vekic D.
627102
Kostyuk M.
46681

Donna Vekic defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-4 2-6 7-6 in the Paris Olympics quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, but Donna Vekic had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Donna Vekic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Donna Vekic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayDonna Vekic7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Vekic D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Vekic D.Kostyuk M.
Serve
61
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Slight edge
91
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
7.7+238 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2057
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.1
Surface form
4.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
69

Vekic D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw