Marta Kostyuk vs Maria SakkariParis Olympics Round of 16

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 16
#11WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#37WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Kostyuk M.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Sakkari M.
Kostyuk M.
47762
Sakkari M.
66541

Marta Kostyuk defeated Maria Sakkari 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Paris Olympics round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassMarta Kostyuk0-6 7-5 6-2
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Sakkari M.
61
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
81
Break points saved·Even
93
94
Break points won·Slight edge
98
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
77
Tiebreaks·Even
86
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.4+238 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1754
7.5Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
81

Kostyuk M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw