Leylah Fernandez vs Karolina MuchovaParis Olympics Round of 64

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 64
#25WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#6WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Fernandez L.
6-1 4-6 6-2
Muchova K.
Fernandez L.
6462
Muchova K.
1621

Leylah Fernandez defeated Karolina Muchova 6-1 4-6 6-2 in the Paris Olympics round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Leylah Fernandez came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardKarolina Muchova6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Fernandez L.Muchova K.
47
Serve
20
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (132 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
95
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
95
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1702
Surface ELO
6.9+191 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.9
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.5
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Fernandez L.: 15 days rest · Muchova K.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw