Flavio Cobolli vs Ben SheltonWashington Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Semi-final
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Cobolli F.
4-6 7-5 6-3
Shelton B.
Cobolli F.
4762
Shelton B.
6531

Flavio Cobolli defeated Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the Washington semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 32. Flavio Cobolli narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13MunichFclayBen Shelton6-2 7-5
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardBen Shelton7-6(4) 6-3
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardBen Shelton6-4 4-6 7-6(1)
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardBen Shelton7-6(4) 7-6(4)
2024-05-20GenevaR16clayFlavio Cobolli4-6 7-6(1) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Shelton B.
20
Serve
76
35
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
9.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
85
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Clear edge
35
58
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
6.5+112 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1960
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
95

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%
Semi-finals
Korda S.[4]
Tiafoe F.[5]
6-46-4
Cobolli F.[10]
Shelton B.[2]
4-67-56-3