Flavio Cobolli vs Alex MichelsenWashington Quarter-final

Washington · ATP · Quarter-final
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Cobolli F.
7-5 3-6 7-6
Michelsen A.
Cobolli F.
73772
Michelsen A.
56621

Flavio Cobolli defeated Alex Michelsen 7-5 3-6 7-6 in the Washington quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Michelsen A.
20
Serve
34
35
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
35
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.4
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
61
61

Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%