Leylah Fernandez vs Cristina BucsaParis Olympics Round of 32

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 32
#25WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#41WTA
1722ELO
1563Clay ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Fernandez L.
7-6 6-3
Bucsa C.
Fernandez L.
7762
Bucsa C.
6430

Leylah Fernandez defeated Cristina Bucsa 7-6 6-3 in the Paris Olympics round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Leylah Fernandez extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16NottinghamR16grassLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardLeylah Fernandez3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Fernandez L.Bucsa C.
47
Serve
20
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (132 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
79
Break points won·Even
95
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.1+139 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1563
6.4Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1722
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Fernandez L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw