Yue Yuan vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaParis Olympics Round of 64

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 64
#120WTA
1629ELO
1546Clay ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Yuan Y.
7-5 6-7 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Yuan Y.
76062
Alexandrova E.
57721

Yue Yuan defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-7 6-2 in the Paris Olympics round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Yue Yuan claimed a first win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Yue Yuan closed it out in three sets, 7–5 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13NingboR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-3
2024-08-19MonterreyQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova7-5 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
94
Break points won·Clear edge
77
98
Deciding sets·Even
60
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1546
Surface ELO
7.2+191 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Alexandrova E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw