Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Francesco MaestrelliVerona CH Round of 16

Verona CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#277ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Guillen Meza A.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Guillen Meza A.
6362
Maestrelli F.
4631

Alvaro Guillen Meza defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Verona CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guillen Meza A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
56
Break points saved·Dominant
43
83
Break points won·Dominant
41
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
5.0+55 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
97

Guillen Meza A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast