Reilly Opelka vs Aleksandar KovacevicAtlanta Round of 32

Atlanta · ATP · Round of 32
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Opelka R.
6-3 7-6
Kovacevic A.
Opelka R.
6772
Kovacevic A.
3650

Reilly Opelka defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 7-6 in the Atlanta round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Kovacevic A.
86
Serve
52
0
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
70%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.1
9.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
53
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Even
1
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+123 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1611
6.9Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
6.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast