Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Reilly OpelkaAtlanta Round of 16

Atlanta · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-5 7-5
Opelka R.
Davidovich Fokina A.
772
Opelka R.
550

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Reilly Opelka 7-5 7-5 in the Atlanta round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 7-6(3) 5-7 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Opelka R.
40
Serve
86
53
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
17.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
63
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
95
1
Deciding sets·Even
91
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1734
6.5Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1749
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast