Gabriel Diallo vs Joao FonsecaChicago CH Round of 16

Chicago CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Diallo G.
7-6 6-1
Fonseca J.
Diallo G.
7762
Fonseca J.
6110

Gabriel Diallo defeated Joao Fonseca 7-6 6-1 in the Chicago CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Gabriel Diallo claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Gabriel Diallo came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayJoao Fonseca6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diallo G.Fonseca J.
38
Serve
47
14
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
76
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
24
43
Deciding sets·Even
87
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
7.9+236 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
94

Diallo G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast