Mattia Bellucci vs Adrian MannarinoAtlanta Round of 16

Atlanta · ATP · Round of 16
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Bellucci M.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Mannarino A.
Bellucci M.
78462
Mannarino A.
66631

Mattia Bellucci defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Atlanta round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49.

Key context

  • Match story: Mattia Bellucci closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve advantage — Bellucci M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Mannarino A.
0
Serve
37
40
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
65
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
10
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+30 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1647
5.2Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
3.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
77

Bellucci M.: 20 days rest · Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast