Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Timofeeva — Budapest Round of 16

Budapest · WTA · Round of 16
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
BLR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#122WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
clay
Maria Timofeeva
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#95WTA
1696ELO
1688Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sasnovich A.
6-3 6-4
Timofeeva M.
Sasnovich A.
662
Timofeeva M.
340

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Maria Timofeeva 6-3 6-4 in the Budapest round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sasnovich A.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 124). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sasnovich A.Timofeeva M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
54
Break points saved·Even
79
76
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
59
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
25
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sasnovich A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Timofeeva M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.4Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
3.6+33 Clay Elo edge
7.0Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sasnovich A.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest · Timofeeva M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Shnaider D.[1]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-33-67-5
Shnaider D.[1]
Lys E.
6-36-3
Quarter-finals
Lys E.
Sramkova R.
4-66-37-65
Schmiedlova A.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-36-2
Shnaider D.[1]
Seidel E.
6-46-2
Sasnovich A.
Lamens S.
6-42-66-4
R16
Lys E.
Pera B.
7-664-1
Seidel E.
Bondar A.
7-57-5
Lamens S.
Monnet C.
6-46-0
Sasnovich A.
Timofeeva M.
6-36-4
Schmiedlova A.
Sorribes Tormo S.[4]
2-66-26-2
Shnaider D.[1]
Makarova E.
6-36-3
Avanesyan E.
Masarova R.
2-67-56-1
Sramkova R.
Wang X.[3]
7-646-3
R32
Seidel E.
Uchijima M.[7]
6-11-0
Shnaider D.[1]
Stollar F.
6-33-66-4
Sramkova R.
Bulgaru M.
6-34-66-4
Lys E.
Podoroska N.[6]
6-36-0
Avanesyan E.
Frech M.[5]
7-656-4
Masarova R.
Szabanin N.
6-26-3
Pera B.
Korpatsch T.
7-52-66-2
Bondar A.
Danilovic O.
7-656-4
Makarova E.
Babos T.
6-36-1
Wang X.[3]
Todoni A.
7-647-5
Schmiedlova A.
Rakhimova K.
3-66-46-0
Monnet C.
Toth A.
6-16-1
Timofeeva M.
Waltert S.
7-57-63
Sasnovich A.
Tomova V.[2]
2-66-26-4
Sorribes Tormo S.[4]
Topalova G.
4-66-37-5
Lamens S.
Gracheva V.[8]
6-36-0