Timofey Skatov vs Andrea PellegrinoBastad Qualifying Round 2

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#163ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
clay
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Skatov T.
6-4 6-1
Pellegrino A.
Skatov T.
662
Pellegrino A.
410

Timofey Skatov defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-4 6-1 in the Bastad qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #138. Timofey Skatov extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechQ1clayTimofey Skatov3-6 4-1 RET
2025-07-14BastadQ2clayAndrea Pellegrino6-3 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonQ1grassTimofey Skatov6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Skatov T.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
31
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
67
Break points won·Slight edge
27
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.3+122 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1674
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.5
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
3.5
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
84

Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 84%