Qinwen Zheng vs Karolina MuchovaPalermo Final

Palermo · WTA · Final
#135WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
clay
#6WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Zheng Q.
6-4 4-6 6-2
Muchova K.
Zheng Q.
6462
Muchova K.
4621

Qinwen Zheng defeated Karolina Muchova 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the Palermo final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Qinwen Zheng claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Qinwen Zheng closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingSFhardKarolina Muchova6-3 6-4
2022-04-28MadridR64clayKarolina Muchova1-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
95
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1811
Surface ELO
5.7+81 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 2066
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
62

Zheng Q.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%