Reilly Opelka vs Mackenzie McdonaldNewport Quarter-final

Newport · ATP · Quarter-final
#131ATP
1749ELO
1635Grass ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
grass
#140ATP
1606ELO
1541Grass ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Opelka R.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Opelka R.
4662
Mcdonald M.
6341

Reilly Opelka defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Newport quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #131, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Reilly Opelka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-17Delray BeachR16hardReilly Opelka6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving97% hold

wins 78% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
56
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
1
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 259 days (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+93 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1541
6.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
2.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast